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Tweets: It looks like it was the same Butler Farm show, act 2: “no line of sight”, no real treat. However, the new, defensive line of narrative emerged: “the criticism of Trump is a threat to his safety.” The victimization aura, the favorite tool of some political intelligence planners.

 So, it was not a “witness” so conveniently popped up with the camera ready and aimed at the license plate of the fast moving car. It was “the agent”.

Whose “agent”?
Quote: “The agent then fired in the direction of the rifle and saw Routh fleeing the area and entering his Nissan…

Tweets – Michael Novakhov (@mikenov) / Twitter

@mikenov: Tweets

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My impression is that Trump’s entire Election – 2024 campaign is managed by the Mossad, via Jared Kushner.

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My impression is that Trump’s entire Election – 2024 campaign is managed by the Mossad, via Jared Kushner. They staged both shows: the “Butler Farm” and the “Root (Routh) in the bushes“, under the “Russia vs Ukrainecovers

It looks like the Mossad has a clear and precisely timed plan and plot for the October Surprise 2024, which will turn the electorate to favor Trump, the redux, in some ways of 2016. They tend to repeat what worked in the past, for the lack of the suitable repertory. 

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Tweets – 12:21 PM 9/17/2024: Amazon.com: Ukraine’s Unwinnable War

Amazon.com: Ukraine's Unwinnable War: The Fatal Flaw of Democracy, World  Abandonment and the Global Citizen-Taiwan, Afghanistan, North Korea and the  end of Humanity eBook : Routh, Ryan, Shaffer, Kathleen : Kindle Store

Tweets – Michael Novakhov (@mikenov) / Twitter

@mikenov: Trump suspect told Iran ‘you are free to assassinate Trump’ in apparent self-published book – ABC News abcnews.go.com/US/suspect-tru… In 2019, the FBI received a tip that Routh was a felon in possession of a firearm, said Jeffrey Veltri, FBI special agent in charge of the Miami Office.…

Trump suspect told Iran ‘you are free to assassinate Trump’ in apparent self-published book – ABC News abcnews.go.com/US/suspect-tru… In 2019, the FBI received a tip that Routh was a felon in possession of a firearm, said Jeffrey Veltri, FBI special agent in charge of the Miami Office.…

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“The man accused of trying to assassinate Donald Trump may have had inside information on his movements”, and he might have gotten this information from his handlers, the Mossad or others.


Trump and the Games Mossad plays

“The man accused of trying to assassinate Donald Trump may have had inside information on his movements”, and he might have gotten this information from his handlers, the Mossad or others.

The Butler Farm Show and Routh (the “Root”!) in the bushes show are very similar: the “Target” Trump unhurt (and was not intended to be hurt), and the big noise was made again about his safety: “Protect our investment”!
To me it looks like the elegant Mossad’s finger is sticking out again from the bushes: “Ukraine did it, they do not like Trump! And Russia is behind this show too, to cast a bad light on her ex-sister. But we are innocent and just watching!” Pakistani passports are dangled in the air as the incriminating evidence.

Ryan Routh, Ukraine, Russia, Mossad – GS
google.com/search?q=Ryan+

‘Full of s—’ Trump gunman was rejected by Ukraine army –
telegraph.co.uk/us/news/2024/0

Possibility Ryan Wesley Routh Had Informant ‘Scary’: Ex-FBI Leader
Published Sep 16, 2024 at 4:48 AM EDT –
newsweek.com/possibility-ry
“The man accused of trying to assassinate Donald Trump may have had inside information on his movements”, and he might have gotten this information from his handlers, the Mossad or others.
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@mikenov: October Surprise 2024 – Tweets – Michael Novakhov

Russia, North Korea may be planning ‘October surprise’ ahead of 2024  election: report

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October Surprise 2024

Unprecedented' 2024 presidential race could get hit with an 'October  Surprise,' CT historian says | Connecticut Public

October Surprise 2024 – (8.31.24 – 9.15.24)

FBI Reform – Posts Review In Brief – Feed Informer: Widget Properties
France’s Macron says giving Telegram CEO Durov French citizenship was a good thing | AP News
telegram – Google Search
October Surprise 2024 – Search
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decryption of the Telegram – Search
pavel durov – Search
TelegramGate – Search
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October Surprise 2024 – YouTube
Telegram: ‘The dark web in your pocket’
Behind the arrest of Telegram boss, a small Paris cybercrime unit with big ambitions | Reuters
OPEN SOURCE INTELLIGENCE (OSINT) NEWS: CIA Director William J. Burns on Putin: The Dangerous Drive to Rebuild the Soviet Empire
Telegram: ‘The dark web in your pocket’ – Google Search
The Kremlin Has Entered Your Telegram Chat – Google Search
FBI says no evidence Thomas Crooks had offshore accounts | Fact check

Blog

October Surprise 2024 may be pro-Trump and negative for the US Democrats. It might relate to Durov’s arrest, subsequent elective decryption, and the release of the damaging information on Trump’s opponents, a la the TelegramGate in Puerto Rico in 2019.
October Surprise 2024 – News Review – Updated on 8.31.24
Telegram: ‘The dark web in your pocket’ – Tweets Review
Does the FBI CI Service use any predictive models to identify the possible and coming October Surprise 2024?
October Surprise 2024 – Web Review – 9.15.24 Update

Articles

‘Unprecedented’ 2024 presidential race could get hit with an ‘October Surprise,’ CT historian says | Connecticut Public
What Will This Year’s ‘October Surprise’ Be? – Audio Posts
What Will This Year’s ‘October Surprise’ Be?
nick catoggio the dispatch – Google Search
Only an ‘October Surprise’ will swing the presidential election
Are Russia and North Korea planning an ‘October surprise’ that aids Trump?
What Will Be Trump’s “October Surprise”? – hartmannreport.com – Audio Posts
Opinion | A Disinformation October Surprise Is Coming
October surprise – Wikipedia
Thom Hartmann | Substack
October Surprise 2024 – Posts Review In Brief – FBI Reform – The News And Times
FBI deployed unconstitutional ‘zero-click’ Pegasus surveillance software – FBI Reform – The News And Times
The Unpredictable But Entirely Possible Events That Could Throw the 2024 Election Into Turmoil – POLITICO
jewish holidays 2024 – Google Search

Tweets

(1) Michael Novakhov on X: “What Will This Year’s ‘October Surprise’ Be? – Audio Posts https://t.co/kORUO4NUr9 https://t.co/5Ubgrj6HP4” / X
(1) Michael Novakhov on X: “What Will This Year’s ‘October Surprise’ Be? – Audio Posts https://t.co/kORUO4NmBB” / X
(1) Michael Novakhov on X: “Trump’s “October Surprise” – https://t.co/3CuM6RB3Fd – #NewsAndTimes #NT #TNT #News #Times #World #USA #POTUS #DOJ #FBI #CIA #DIA #ODNI #Trump #TrumpNews #Israel #Mossad #Netanyahu #Ukraine #NewAbwehr #OSINT #Putin #Russia #GRU #Путин, #Россия #SouthCaucasus #Bloggers The News https://t.co/dfRXyJOD6i” / X
October Surprise 2024 – Search / X
Michael Novakhov on X: “‘Unprecedented’ 2024 presidential race could get hit with an ‘October Surprise,’ CT historian says | Connecticut Public https://t.co/W2wVhQqKLr” / X

Searches

Predictive Models in Counterintelligence Investigations – 9.15.24

Does the FBI CI Service use any predictive models to identify the possible and coming October Surprise 2024? – Google Search
Does the FBI CI Service use any predictive models to identify the possible and coming October Surprise 2024? – Search
October Surprise 2024 – Search
October Surprise 2024 – Google Search
October Surprise 2024 – Google Search
October Surprise 2024 – Google Search
October Surprise 2024 – Google Search
counterintelligence investigations – Search
counterintelligence examples – Google Search
dod counterintelligence investigations – Google Search
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Predictive Models in Counterintelligence Investigations – Google Search

Telegram and TelegramGate – 8.30.24

telegram – Google Search
TelegramGate – Google Search
TelegramGate – Google Search
Telegramgate – Wikipedia
telegram – Google Search News
October Surprise 2024 – Google Search
What could be the October Surprise 2024? – Google Search

9.1.24

The French Detention: Why We’re Watching the Telegram Situation Closely | Electronic Frontier Foundation
Is Crypto to Blame for Telegram CEO Pavel Durov’s Arrest? – Decrypt
Pavel Durov, Telegram, Crypto dealings, and Russian Intelligence Services – Google Search
Pavel Durov, Telegram, Crypto dealings, and Russian Intelligence Services – Google Search
Crooks and Telegram – Google Search
TM Crooks and Telegram – Google Search
how much money tm crooks had on foreign bank accounts? – Google Search
Telegram is the market place for terrorists and their sponsors – Google Search
Terrorists’ love for Telegram, explained | Vox
Telegram and Russian mafia – Google Search
Telegram and Russian Jewish Mob – Google Search

Operation “Doppelganger” – 9.9.24

Operation “Doppelganger” – Search
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tenet media indictment – Google Search
tenet media – Google Search
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tenet media indictment – Search
Russian interference in election 2024 – Google Search
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Trump shooting investigation – Google Search
Trump shooting investigation – Search
Операция «двойник» – Search
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Doppelganger indictment – Google Search
Garland and Wray on Russian interference in election 2024 – Google Search
Garland and Wray on Russian interference in election 2024 – Search
Konstantin Kalashnikov and Elena Afanasyeva – Google Search
Konstantin Kalashnikov and Elena Afanasyeva – Search
Garland and Wray on Russian interference in election 2024 – Google News – Search
Why the Kremlin Loves Social Media – POLITICO
Russian interference in election 2024 – Search
October Surprise 2024 – Google Search
Google News – Search

Trump’s Ear – 9.10.24

The mystery of Trump’s “Ear Wound”: Reporter who inspected Trump’s ear reveals in detail what she saw … ‘He Is a Liar’: Donald Trump Accused of Staging Assassination as His Ear Remains Scar-Free: Photo
TRUMP’S EAR: He’s Either Ill or Having a Breakdown’: Donald Trump Mocked for Being ‘Evasive’ While Discussing His Ear Injury – Tweets
“You do not target Putin’s personal safety, and we will not target your leaders!” – this is the Russian message. The connection between this message, Austin – Belousov phone talks, and the suspected attacks on Biden and Trump is confirmed, although it still is hypothetical and formally unproven.
TRUMP’S EAR – Google Search
New York Magazine Reporter Olivia Nuzzi: What I Learned When Trump Let Me Inspect His Ear

News Reviews

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October Surprise 2024

 From the Boiling Frogs on The Dispatch

From time to time when Jonah Goldberg appears on CNN, he and the other panelists are asked to make political predictions. 

October Surprise 2024 – 8.31.24

October Surprise 2024 may be pro-Trump and negative for the US Democrats. It might relate to Durov’s arrest, subsequent elective decryption, and the release of the damaging information on Trump’s opponents, a la the TelegramGate in Puerto Rico in 2019.
October Surprise 2024 – News Review – Updated on 8.31.24
Telegram: ‘The dark web in your pocket’ – Tweets Review
FBI Reform – Posts Review In Brief – Feed Informer: Widget Properties
October Surprise 2024 – Posts Review In Brief – FBI Reform – The News And Times
FBI deployed unconstitutional ‘zero-click’ Pegasus surveillance software – FBI Reform – The News And Times
‘Unprecedented’ 2024 presidential race could get hit with an ‘October Surprise,’ CT historian says | Connecticut Public
France’s Macron says giving Telegram CEO Durov French citizenship was a good thing | AP News
Are Russia and North Korea planning an ‘October surprise’ that aids Trump?
telegram – Google Search
October Surprise 2024 – Search
Telegram – Search
decryption of the Telegram – Search
pavel durov – Search
TelegramGate – Search
Telegram and CIA – Search
Telegram and FBI – Search
Telegram and FSB – Search
Telegram and GRU – Search
Telegram and Mossad – Search
October Surprise 2024 and FBI – Search
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October Surprise 2024 and GRU – Search News
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October Surprise 2024 and Russian Military Intelligence – Search
October Surprise 2024 and Mossad – Search
October Surprise 2024 and CIA – Search
October Surprise 2024 and FBI – Search
October Surprise 2024 – YouTube
Telegram: ‘The dark web in your pocket’
Behind the arrest of Telegram boss, a small Paris cybercrime unit with big ambitions | Reuters
OPEN SOURCE INTELLIGENCE (OSINT) NEWS: CIA Director William J. Burns on Putin: The Dangerous Drive to Rebuild the Soviet Empire
October Surprise 2024 – Search / X
Telegram: ‘The dark web in your pocket’ – Google Search
The Kremlin Has Entered Your Telegram Chat – Google Search

Blog

Does the FBI CI Service use any predictive models to identify the possible and coming October Surprise 2024?
FBI says no evidence Thomas Crooks had offshore accounts | Fact check

Searches

Predictive Models in Counterintelligence Investigations – 9.15.24

Does the FBI CI Service use any predictive models to identify the possible and coming October Surprise 2024? – Google Search
Does the FBI CI Service use any predictive models to identify the possible and coming October Surprise 2024? – Search

9.15.23 – Articles

What Will Be Trump’s “October Surprise”? – hartmannreport.com – Audio Posts
What Will This Year’s ‘October Surprise’ Be?
What Will This Year’s ‘October Surprise’ Be? – Audio Posts

Telegram and TelegramGate – 8.30.24

telegram – Google Search
TelegramGate – Google Search
TelegramGate – Google Search
Telegramgate – Wikipedia
telegram – Google Search News
October Surprise 2024 – Google Search
What could be the October Surprise 2024? – Google Search
Only an ‘October Surprise’ will swing the presidential election

9.1.24

The French Detention: Why We’re Watching the Telegram Situation Closely | Electronic Frontier Foundation
Is Crypto to Blame for Telegram CEO Pavel Durov’s Arrest? – Decrypt
Pavel Durov, Telegram, Crypto dealings, and Russian Intelligence Services – Google Search
Pavel Durov, Telegram, Crypto dealings, and Russian Intelligence Services – Google Search
Crooks and Telegram – Google Search
TM Crooks and Telegram – Google Search
how much money tm crooks had on foreign bank accounts? – Google Search
Telegram is the market place for terrorists and their sponsors – Google Search
Terrorists’ love for Telegram, explained | Vox
Telegram and Russian mafia – Google Search
Telegram and Russian Jewish Mob – Google Search

Websites and Selected Pages

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Does the FBI CI Service use any predictive models to identify the possible and coming October Surprise 2024?

Does the FBI CI Service use any predictive models to identify the possible and coming October Surprise 2024? 

GS | Bing 


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Attorney General Merrick Garland denounces ‘dangerous’ and ‘outrageous’ attacks on DOJ prosecutors and personnel – Tweets – 12:54 PM 9/13/2024

Attorney General Merrick Garland denounces ‘dangerous’ and ‘outrageous’ attacks on DOJ prosecutors and personnel – Tweets – 12:54 PM 9/13/2024

Tweets – Michael Novakhov (@mikenov) / Twitter

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Pavel Durov, Telegram, October Surprise 2024, and the possible involvement by Israel – My Opinion


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Pavel Durov, Telegram, and October Surprise 2024

GS:
google.com/search?q=Pavel

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The Hill: The arrest of Pavel Durov: A geopolitical power play in the Digital Age – by Pari Esfandiari, opinion contributor – 09/05/24 9:45 AM ET

On Aug. 23, French authorities arrested Pavel Durov, the founder and CEO of Telegram, at Le Bourget Airport near Paris. This unexpected event has sent ripples through the tech industry and raised significant questions about the intersection of digital privacy, state power and global geopolitics.
According to French officials, Durov was arrested on a warrant issued by France’s L’office mineurs, an agency responsible for preventing violence against minors. The charges against him include allegations of failing to curb the use of Telegram for criminal activities such as cyberbullying, drug trafficking, organized crime and the promotion of extremism. Telegram, with its encrypted messaging services, has been a platform of choice for various actors, including those involved in illicit activities, which French authorities argue Durov has not adequately addressed.
The geopolitical implications of Durov’s detention cannot be overlooked. Telegram has been a critical tool in several global hotspots, most notably the Ukraine conflict, where it has been used by both military units and civilians for communication and information dissemination. Russia’s immediate response, demanding consular access and criticizing French authorities, underscores the international tensions at play.
Durov, who holds multiple citizenships, including Russian, has long been a thorn in the side of the Russian government due to his refusal to comply with demands for user data from his platform. His detention in a NATO member state like France could be interpreted as part of broader Western efforts to counter Russian influence, particularly in the digital realm.

Speculation also abounds regarding possible involvement of other intelligence agencies, including Israel’s, given its sophisticated cyber capabilities and interest in monitoring or controlling platforms like Telegram, which both allies and adversaries might find useful. Any involvement by Israel, whether through intelligence sharing or cyber operations, would add further complexity to the geopolitical landscape surrounding Durov’s detention.

Durov’s decision to travel to France despite the risks involved also raises questions. Some speculate that it may have been a calculated risk, possibly linked to broader negotiations or a belief that he could resolve legal issues there. The situation is further complicated by the mysterious disappearance of 24-year-old Yuli Vavilova, a Dubai-based crypto-coach from Moscow who was with Durov at the time of his detention. Speculation is rampant, with theories ranging from her involvement in espionage to the possibility of a honey trap orchestrated by intelligence agencies, adding layers of intrigue to the unfolding events.

Durov’s detention comes amidst increasing pressure from European regulators on tech companies to comply with the Digital Services Act, which demands stringent content moderation to prevent the misuse of platforms for illegal purposes. France’s actions suggest a hard-line approach to enforcing these regulations, particularly against companies perceived as not fully cooperating with European standards.

This event serves as a stark reminder of the delicate balance between public safety and individual freedoms, particularly the right to privacy. Telegram is known for its strong encryption and for Durov’s commitment to protecting user data from government intrusion, making it a vital tool for activists, journalists and everyday users who value privacy. But it has also attracted criminals and extremists, who exploit its secure communication features.

One significant concern arising from this situation is the potential for the French government to gain access to Telegram’s databases. Although Telegram is designed to be highly secure, with servers distributed across multiple jurisdictions, Durov’s detention could lead to increased pressure on the company to comply with data access requests.

If French authorities gain access to user data, it could impact millions of users worldwide, particularly those involved in sensitive communications, such as political activists, journalists and government officials who rely on Telegram’s encryption for secure messaging.

This case raises broader concerns about the future of digital privacy and freedom. If governments can hold tech executives personally responsible for their platforms’ users, it may lead to increased self-censorship by companies or even a decline in the availability of secure communication tools. This could have a chilling effect on free speech, especially in authoritarian regimes where platforms like Telegram are essential for organizing dissent.

For the tech industry, this incident signals a new era of accountability, in which CEOs and founders could face legal consequences for their platforms’ failures to comply with local laws. This is particularly significant for companies operating across multiple jurisdictions with varying legal standards. The pressure to adhere to stringent regulations may stifle innovation, especially in sectors like encryption and cybersecurity, where the balance between security and oversight is inherently delicate.

Durov’s detention bears significant similarities to the 2018 apprehension of Meng Wanzhou, the CFO of Huawei, in Canada. Both cases involve high-profile tech industry figures whose detentions have sparked international controversies and raised questions about the motivations behind them. Meng’s detention was widely viewed as part of the U.S.-China trade war, with Huawei at the center of concerns over 5G technology and cybersecurity. Likewise, Durov’s situation can be seen within the context of global power struggles, particularly between Russia and the West, and the role of technology in modern warfare and statecraft.

Both cases illustrate how technology and geopolitics are increasingly intertwined. Meng’s detention had far-reaching consequences for Huawei and China’s global tech ambitions, just as Durov’s could impact Telegram’s operations and the broader tech landscape, especially concerning encrypted communications.

Just as Meng’s case symbolized the escalating tech rivalry between the U.S. and China, Durov’s detention could mark a key moment in the ongoing struggle over digital sovereignty and the future of the internet.

Pari Esfandiari is the co-founder and president at the Global TechnoPolitics Forum, a member of the at-large advisory committee at ICANN representing the European region, and a member of APCO Worldwide’s advisory board.

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