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The race for the White House #NewsAndTimes #NT #TNT #News #Times#World #USA #POTUS #DOJ #FBI #CIA #DIA #ODNI#Israel #Mossad #Netanyahu#Ukraine #NewAbwehr #OSINT#Putin #Russia #GRU #Путин, #Россия #SouthCaucasus #Bloggershttps://t.co/O0SIgLVWzM…— Michael Novakhov (@mikenov) July 12, 2024
Day: July 12, 2024
“The race for the White House remains essentially unchanged.” – News Review In 100 Tweets https://t.co/390WgqANQm pic.twitter.com/JoaGvycyzv
— Michael Novakhov (@mikenov) July 12, 2024
The phenomenon of “misnaming,” or calling someone by the wrong name, is more common than we think. Pexels, Public Domain
This has happened to us all: We’re eating dinner at the family table when our parents turn to us, open their mouths, and call us by our sister’s, brother’s, our dog’s name, or all three before they get it right. While it’s easy to assume they have favorites, we shouldn’t take offense since such “misnamings” occur more often than we think. According to a recent study published in the journal Memory and Cognition, we tend to call people by the wrong name when they’re either part of the same social group, or if their name is phonetically similar.
“It’s a cognitive mistake we make, which reveals something about who we consider to be in our group,” said David Rubin, study author and professor of psychology and neuroscience at Duke University, in a statement. “It’s not just random.”
Previous research has found these Freudian slips occur when people lose track of who they are interacting with, but still remember how they are interacting. For example, parents are more likely to mix up their children’s names. These slips are more common than sending an email to the wrong person.
Rubin and his colleagues sought to investigate the prevalence of this phenomenon by analyzing data from five studies including over 1,700 participants to identify factors which may explain why these mistakes occur. They asked questions of both those who were misnamed and those referring to someone using the wrong name. In all instances, the participants in the study knew the person they were misnaming well, or were misnamed by someone they knew well.
The findings revealed saying or being called the incorrect name often took place within the same social group. For example, family members called other relatives by a wrong name that belonged to someone in the family. So, this would be similar if our mom called us by all of our siblings’ names before getting to our actual name. Similarly, friends belonging to the same social circle called each other by the name of another friend within the group.
In addition, phonetic similarities between names also led to more mix-ups. Names with the same beginning or ending sounds, such as Michael and Mitchell or Joey and Mikey, were more likely to be swapped. Names that shared phonemes, or sounds, such as John and Bob, were also likely to be interchanged, because they share the same vowel sound.
Notably, the physical appearance of a person and age, were less likely to influence people’s tendency to call them the wrong name.
Samantha Deffler, lead author of the study, and a Ph.D student at Duke, was surprised by one pattern — study participants frequently called other family members by the name of the family pet. However, this was only when the pet was a dog. Owners of cats or other pets didn’t commit such Freudian slips.
“I’ll preface this by saying I have cats and I love them,” said Deffler, in a statement. “But our study does seem to add to evidence about the special relationship between people and dogs.”
Typically, dogs will respond to their names much more than cats, so those names are used more often, and committed to memory. Perhaps, Deffler hypothesizes, this is why the dog’s name seems to become more integrated with people’s perceptions of their families.
She is no stranger to misnaming either. “I’m graduating in two weeks and my siblings will all be there,” she said. “I know my mom will make mistakes.”
Overall, misnaming of close individuals is driven by the relationship we have between the misnamer, misnamed, and the named, according to the authors.
So, although we understand the dynamics of these slips of the lips, they can still be embarrassing. The best way to recover from them? Smile and move along.
Source: Deffler SA, Fox C, Ogle CM et al. All my children: The roles of semantic category and phonetic similarity in the misnaming of familiar individuals. Memory & Cognition. 2016.
In a nearly hourlong news conference, the president defended his decision to stay in the race amid questions about his age and mental acuity, but also showed a command of foreign policy.
President Biden at a news conference in Washington on Thursday night.Credit…Eric Lee/The New York Times
President Biden on Thursday answered questions from reporters about foreign policy, whether he is up to defeating former President Donald J. Trump and why he is resisting calls from Democrats to end his candidacy, as he sought to recover from a crisis of confidence that has engulfed his campaign.
With a growing number of Democratic lawmakers, donors and elected officials urging Mr. Biden to drop out of the race after a disastrous debate performance last month, the closing news conference of a NATO summit in Washington became a high-stakes chance for the president to quiet concerns about his candidacy. The results were mixed.
Mr. Biden stumbled early but remained defiant in the face of questions about his fitness to continue his campaign. He struggled to articulate a cohesive case for his candidacy, even as he gave a forceful defense of his record and showed a strong command over foreign policy.
Here are five takeaways:
Mr. Biden vowed to stay in the presidential race. “I’m determined on running,” Mr. Biden said. He dismissed polling showing him losing to Mr. Trump and insisted, “I think I’m the best qualified person to do the job.” But he also acknowledged that the schedule of the presidency had become challenging. “I just got to, just, pace myself a little more,” Mr. Biden said.
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“There has been reporting that you’ve acknowledged that you need to go to bed earlier, end your evening around 8.” “That’s not true. Look, what I said was, instead of my every day starting at 7 and going to bed at midnight, it’d be smarter for me to pace myself a little more. And I said, for example, the 8, 7, 6 stuff, instead of starting a fundraiser at 9 o‘clock, start at 8 o‘clock. People get to go home by 10 o‘clock. That’s what I’m talking about.”
Before the debate, he said, his schedule was “full-bore” and he made the “stupid mistake” of too much travel and too many late nights before the debate. Mr. Biden also blamed his staff for the packed days. “I love my staff,” Mr. Biden said. “But they add things. They add things all the time at the very end.”
Mr. Biden’s response to the first question contained the kind of fumble that has caused Democrats anxiety. Asked about the ability of Vice President Kamala Harris to defeat Mr. Trump, Mr. Biden said that he “wouldn’t have picked Vice President Trump to be vice president did I think she was not qualified to be president.”
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”What concerns do you have about Vice President Harris’s ability to beat Donald Trump if she were at the top of the ticket?“ ”Look, I wouldn’t have picked Vice President Trump to be vice president did I think she was not qualified to be president. So let’s start there.“
He also slipped while answering a question about military assistance to Ukraine, saying he follows the advice of his “commander in chief” — which is the president — before correcting himself and mentioning his senior military commanders. For the most part, though, he avoided the kinds of prolonged, painful moments he experienced during the debate in which he was unable to complete a thought, even as he meandered at times in his answers.
In the face of questions over his mental acuity, Mr. Biden showed he still had a strong grasp on substance when it came to global affairs. He gave long, detailed answers on various foreign policy matters, including when he said he was prepared to interrupt the relationship between China and Russia. “We have to make sure that Xi understands that there’s a price to pay,” Mr. Biden said, referring to President Xi Jinping of China.
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Xi believes that China is a large enough market that they can entice any country, including European countries, to invest there in return for commitments from Europe to do A, B, C or D or not to do certain things. China has to understand that if they are supplying Russia with information and capacity, along with working with North Korea and others to help Russia in armament, that they’re not going to benefit economically. We have to make sure that Xi understands there’s a price to pay for undercutting both the Pacific Basin as well as Europe and as it relates to Russia and dealing with Ukraine.
He reiterated his longstanding position that Ukraine should not be allowed to use American weapons to strike deep into Russia, including Moscow and the Kremlin. And he detailed his efforts to get humanitarian aid into Gaza, noting that Israel “occasionally” was “less than cooperative.” He also made the case for the global stakes of the election, saying fellow world leaders had told him that “you’ve got to win” because Mr. Trump would be a disaster for their countries.
Mr. Biden rambled while making the case for his candidacy, launching long-winded recitations of what he has accomplished as president and maintaining that he should have the chance to continue, but never landing on a concise message for why he is the best person to do so.
“I’m determined on running,” he said. “But I think it’s important that I real — I allay fears. I’ve seen — let them see me out there, let me see them out, you know — for the longest time, it was, you know, ‘Biden’s not prepared to sit with us unscripted; Biden is not prepared to’ — and anyway.”
He then began ticking through statistics about the reach of his re-election campaign, and suggested that all the work would be for nothing if he left the race, saying, “It’s awful hard to replace in the near term.” He then veered into talking about his record in the Senate, adding, “Anyway, I’m going to be going around making the case of the things that I think we have to finish and how we can’t afford to lose what we’ve done.”
He said polls showed he was the strongest candidate to beat Mr. Trump, but also conceded for the first time that other Democrats could also do so. “I believe I’m the best qualified to govern and I think I’m the best qualified to win, but there are other people who could beat Trump, too,” he said. “But it’s awful to start from scratch.”
While he vowed to stay in the race, Mr. Biden also on multiple occasions defended the credentials of his vice president. He commended her work defending abortion rights and “her ability to handle almost any issue on the board.” But he also made clear that any polling showing Ms. Harris faring better in a matchup against Mr. Trump would not compel him to step down. “Unless they came back and said there’s no way you can win,” Mr. Biden said. “No one’s saying that.”
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“You earlier explained confidence in your vice president.“ ”Yes.“ ”If your team came back and showed you data that she would fare better against former President Donald Trump, would you reconsider your decision to stay in the race?“ “No, unless they came back and said, ‘There’s no way you can win.’ Me. No one’s saying that. No poll says that.“
The American People have the final say on this matter, at the voting booths.
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Biden’s news conference – Google Search https://t.co/b9Q0gkFKGU https://t.co/envr4V4yXs— Michael Novakhov (@mikenov) July 12, 2024
“I am all in. I’m riding with Biden no matter which direction he goes,” Clyburn said on NBC’s “Today” program.
Clyburn, 83, is a respected voice among Black Americans whose support is essential to Biden’s 2024 campaign. He has served in Congress for more than 30 years and played a leading role in Biden’s successful 2020 White House run.
“Please pass the torch to one of our many capable Democratic leaders so we have the best chance to defeat Donald Trump,” Representative Brittany Pettersen wrote on social media.
With most U.S. voters firmly divided into ideological camps, opinion polls show the race remains close.
Hakeem Jeffries, the Democratic leader in the House of Representatives, said he met with Biden on Thursday night to convey the range of thoughts they held about his candidacy. He did not say how Biden responded.
“I directly expressed the full breadth of insight, heartfelt perspectives and conclusions about the path forward,” Jeffries wrote in a letter to colleagues.
Democrats are worried that Biden’s low approval ratings and growing concerns that he is too old for the job could cause them to lose seats in the House and Senate, leaving them with no grip on power in Washington should Trump win the White House.
Thursday’s press conference provided fodder for Biden supporters and doubters alike.
At one point, Biden referred to his vice president, Kamala Harris, as “Vice President Trump”. Hours earlier he introduced Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskiy as “President Putin” at the NATO summit, drawing gasps from those in the room.
Biden occasionally garbled his responses at the press conference but also delivered detailed assessments of global issues, including Ukraine’s war with Russia and the Israel-Gaza conflict, that served as a reminder of his decades of experience on the world stage.
A senior Biden campaign official who spoke on condition of anonymity called the performance the “worst of all worlds. Not good. But not bad enough to make him change his mind.”
Another strategist who worked on Biden’s 2020 campaign said it would not quell Democrats’ concerns.
Fundraiser Dmitri Mehlhorn said other donors told him they saw a strong performance from the president. “This is the person who can beat Trump. The mistakes are baked in and the upside is strong,” he told Reuters.
Biden will try to shift the focus back to Trump at an evening rally in Detroit.
He and other Democrats have warned that a sweeping policy agenda crafted by conservative allies called Project 2025 would give Trump a blank check to pursue his whims. Trump has distanced himself from the project.
After two weeks of fallout from Biden’s halting debate performance, Democrats are hoping the bright spotlight shifts to Trump and his agenda next week when the Republican Party convenes in Milwaukee to formally nominate him for president.
An NPR/PBS poll released on Friday found Biden leading Trump 50% to 48%, a slight increase from his position before the debate. Biden fared slightly worse than Trump when third-party candidates were included in the questioning.
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“The race for the White House remains essentially unchanged.”
Kamala Harris Scores Double Poll Boost Over Donald Trump – Newsweek https://t.co/vvTqPAUjUP— Michael Novakhov (@mikenov) July 12, 2024
Two recent polls show Vice President Kamala Harris beating Donald Trump in a hypothetical 2024 matchup.
On Friday, an NPR/PBS News/Marist poll of 1,174 registered voters suggests Harris, considered the best-placed person to replace President Joe Biden as the Democrat’s 2024 nominee should he drop out of the race, would narrowly beat Trump in November’s election (50 percent to 49).
The poll was released one day after an ABC News/Washington Post/Ipsos poll of 2,431 adults found that Harris would beat Trump by three points overall (49 percent to 46) and among registered voters (49 percent to 47).
Newsweek reached out to Harris’ office via email for comment.
Biden has faced growing pressure, including from his own party, to end his reelection bid after his poor performance at the June 27 CNN debate.
Both surveys were conducted before Biden caused concern after he mistakenly referred to Harris as “Vice President Trump” during his high-stakes NATO press conference on Thursday evening. Just hours before, Biden also misspoke when he introduced Ukrainian leader Volodymyr Zelensky as “President Putin” before correcting himself.
Harris said she is still supporting Biden in the White House race and has given no indication that she wishes to replace him as the Democratic nominee for 2024.
The NPR/PBS News/Marist survey suggests if Biden decides to drop out of the presidential contest, neither Harris nor any other potential candidates would improve the Democrats‘ chances against Trump.
Vice President Kamala Harris speaks in Greensboro, North Carolina, on July 11. Two polls suggest Harris would beat Donald Trump in the 2024 election.
Vice President Kamala Harris speaks in Greensboro, North Carolina, on July 11. Two polls suggest Harris would beat Donald Trump in the 2024 election.
Sean Rayford/Getty Images
The poll shows Biden beating Trump by two points (50 percent to 48) in the two-way presidential matchup. In a previous NPR/PBS News/Marist survey conducted before the CNN debate, Biden and Trump were tied at 49 percent.
In addition to Harris’ one-point lead over Trump, California Governor Gavin Newsom beat Trump by two points (50 percent to 48), while Michigan Governor Gretchen Whitmer tied with the Republican on 49 percent.
Reacting to the poll results, Lee M. Miringoff, director of the Marist Institute for Public Opinion, said: “Despite a series of cataclysmic political events, including Trump’s felony convictions and Biden’s abysmal debate performance, the race for the White House remains essentially unchanged.
“But Biden needs to restore confidence among his party faithful that he can win. And Trump needs to tread very lightly during the Republican convention about Project 2025 and avoid positioning the GOP as too extreme.”
Elsewhere, the ABC News/Washington Post/Ipsos poll showed that Harris would perform better than Trump in a hypothetical 2024 election among women (52 percent to 44) and Hispanics (56 percent to 40).
Harris also enjoys 82 percent support among Black people and 86 percent among Black women, but these are not significantly different from Biden’s results for these demographics.
During his press conference at the NATO summit in Washington, D.C., on Thursday, Biden reiterated he has no intention of exiting the 2024 race.
“I’m not handing off to another generation; I’ve got to finish this job,” Biden said. “I’ve got to finish this job because there’s so much at stake.”
Newsweek is committed to challenging conventional wisdom and finding connections in the search for common ground.
Newsweek is committed to challenging conventional wisdom and finding connections in the search for common ground.