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Current News Review: Sam Altman says AI could derail 2024 election … Hamas used toxic substance to kill Nahal Oz troops on Oct. 7, IDF probe said to show … FT: Biden offers harshest criticism yet of Netanyahu government

 Michael Novakhov’s favorite articles – 9:40 AM 12/13/2023

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Published: 13:28 GMT, 13 December 2023 | Updated: 14:07 GMT, 13 December 2023

Artificial intelligence guru Sam Altman has warned the technology could be used to sway American voters in the 2024 election.

One particular concern of OpenAI co-founder Altman – spectacularly fired then reinstated as the company’s CEO last month – is that the technology could be used to scan voters’ social media posts.

He says people could then be targeted with personalized, AI-generated disinformation including highly emotive messages imploring them to vote for a certain candidate.  

The tycoon, whose firm is behind ChatGPT, believes AI ‘will be the most powerful technology humanity has yet invented’.

But, he told the audience at Time magazine’s gala in New York City, it will create potent tools for those looking to sway an election, enabling techniques far more sophisticated than those currently available.

Sam Altman, 38, on Tuesday appeared on stage at Time magazine’s annual gala, where he was named CEO of the year

Altman and Sam Jacobs, editor in chief of Time magazine, are seen at the Plaza Hotel in New York City on Tuesday night

Altman, speaking after being named Time’s CEO of the year, warned that troll farms in foreign countries are ‘trying to interfere without elections’.  

‘They make one great meme, and that spreads out and all of us see the same thing on Facebook or Twitter. That will continue to happen and get better.

‘But the thing I am more concerned about: What if an AI reads everything you have ever written online – every tweet, every article, every everything? And right at the exact moment sends you one message, customized just for you, that really changes how you think about the world.

‘That’s a new kind of interference that just wasn’t possible before AI.’

The St Louis-born tech entrepreneur, in a discussion with Time’s editor in chief Sam Jacobs, insisted he was optimistic about AI’s potential, presenting a generally sunny picture of medical advances and increased access to learning.

‘I think we will see education changed deeply and improved forever,’ he said. ‘I think the kids in kindergarten today, by the time they reach 12th grade will be smarter and better prepared than the best kids of today.’

Altman is seen with Jacobs, who interviewed him during Tuesday’s event

He said the experience of his firing and rehiring had been ‘painful and exhausting’ and he had not yet had time to process what had happened – but that he was ‘happy to be back at work.’

‘I think everybody involved in this, as we get closer and closer to super intelligence, everyone involved got more and more stressed as the stakes get higher,’ he said, trying to explain the dramatic events.

‘And I think that all exploded.’

Altman said the team at OpenAI were working ‘to build tools that are helpful to people’ – and that they realized they had huge responsibility.

Critics fear a nightmare Terminator II: Judgement Day-type scenario where sentient machines decide to exterminate their creators and take over the world, turning it into an apocalyptic hellscape.  

‘If we can create abundant intelligence for the world, and abundant energy, then our ability to have amazing ideas for our children to teach themselves, for healthcare, for people to be more productive, to uplift the economy, for people to help themselves – then if we put those things into action with energy they are two massive, massive things,’ he said.

‘Now they come with downsides. And so it’s on us to figure out how to make this safe, and put it responsibly in the hands of people.

‘But I think we see a path now where the world gets much more abundant and much better every year, and people have the ability to do way, way more than we can possibly imagine today.’

Altman said he understood there were many skeptics, and many people fearful about the vast power of AI.

They include Elon Musk – who co-founded OpenAI with Altman, before leaving the company in 2018, and becoming one of its most strident critics. Musk has argued that AI is becoming too powerful, without sufficient guardrails.

Altman said on Tuesday that he was ‘very grateful Elon exists in the world,’ adding: ‘I think he’s done some amazing things.’

He also praised Musk’s work on electric vehicles and space exploration, and said his criticism about Microsoft controlling OpenAI – Microsoft has invested $13 billion in the company – was unfair and inaccurate.

Altman is pictured with his fiance, Australian software engineer Oliver Mulherin

The San Francisco-based CEO said he still believed he and his team were developing something beneficial for humanity.

‘I think in 2023 we started to see it; 2024 we’ll see way more; and by the time the end of the decade rolls around I think we’ll be in a way better place,’ he said.

‘It sounds silly and sci-fi optimism. But if you think about how different the world will be. Today they have ChatGPT – it’s not very good.

‘Next they have the world’s best chief of staff. And after that, every person has a company of 20-50 experts that work super well together, and after that, 10,000 experts in every field.

‘If someone wants to focus on curing disease they can do that, or create art – they can do that.’

Addressing his dramatic November 17 firing before being rehired at OpenAI on November 21, Altman said that it should be viewed in the context of ‘a crazy whole year’ – noting that ChatGPT was only released a year ago, and the company’s profile and reach exploded.

And he said he believed, in the long run, the firing-rehiring drama would be beneficial for the company.

‘It’s been extremely painful for me personally but I actually think it’s been great for OpenAI,’ he said.

‘We’ve never been more unified. We have never been more determined and focused.

‘And we always said this moment would come when we were building AGI. We didn’t think it would come so soon.

‘But we are stronger for going through it.

‘I wouldn’t wish it on an enemy, but it did have a positive effect on the company.’

He said he was extremely proud of how his staff reacted, and carried on working despite the turmoil.

But, he admitted, it had been intense and draining.

Sam Altman warns AI could threaten the 2024 ELECTION with sophisticated troll farms – as he reveals his dramatic firing from OpenAI and re-hiring four days later was ‘painful and exhausting’ https://t.co/wRdHA46y8l pic.twitter.com/innHGdQbsJ

— Daily Mail Online (@MailOnline) December 13, 2023

 image/jpeg GBO_mHEWsAAM3iU.jpg

Оппозиционный российский политик, вице-президент фонда «Свободная Россия» Владимир Милов в интервью «Голосу Америки» рассказал о том, что может помочь Украине, кому еще угрожает Путин и как оппозиция ведет диалог с Западом в период войны. Интервью записано в Вашингтоне 30 ноября.

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Sam Altman says AI could derail 2024 election
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@MailOnline: Sam Altman warns AI could threaten the 2024 ELECTION with sophisticated troll farms – as he reveals his dramatic firing from OpenAI and re-hiring four days later was ‘painful and exhausting’ https://t.co/wRdHA46y8l https://t.co/innHGdQbsJ
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 #NewsAndTimes The News And Times on Twitter – RSS Page The News And Times Information Network – Blogs By Michael Novakhov – thenewsandtimes.blogspot.com
 
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@mikenov: Senior Hamas Officials in Qatar and Lebanon have reportedly begun to Disappear within the past week … https://t.co/pOshVBuTRJ https://t.co/RjTrTfe0zY
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@mikenov: One of Israel’s priorities is to normalize the relations with Iran, rather than to bomb it into the oblivion. The current oppressive Iranian regime is one of the Stalinist KGB piglets, conceived in the shadows of WW2. It needs both a scalpel and the transplantation of the Western…
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@sentdefender: RT by @mikenov: Senior Hamas Officials in Qatar and Lebanon have reportedly begun to Disappear within the past week, with Qatari Sources…
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@mikenov: hamas leaders left qatar
hamas leaders left qatar – Google Search https://t.co/hf9Wyt0aMA— Michael Novakhov (@mikenov) December 13, 2023
 

@TimesofIsrael: RT by @mikenov: Hamas used toxic substance to kill Nahal Oz troops on Oct. 7, IDF probe said to show https://t.co/wSq1XLwVM8 . Click to…
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@Robert4787: RT by @mikenov: A former British intelligence officer got 13 years in the pokie for assaulting an NSA agent with a knife. Espionage tension…
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@KyivIndependent: RT by @mikenov: ⚡Reuters: US intelligence reports Russia has lost 90% of original pre-invasion force in Ukraine. https://t.co/NArdZX8…
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For the time being, Putin appears to have got the upper hand in the war in Ukraine by buying two people. Trump delivered the US & Orban delivers the EU.I do hope that the West is not this pathetic!The EU can probably overcome Orban, but can somebody in the GOP stand up?— Anders Åslund (@anders_aslund) December 13, 2023
 

@Ukrinform_News: RT by @mikenov: 🇺🇦troops eliminated 20,000 Wagner mercenaries, which is essentially the core of the notorious group that’s been “wreaki…
🇺🇦troops eliminated 20,000 Wagner mercenaries, which is essentially the core of the notorious group that’s been “wreaking havoc” in #Africa, #Syria, and #Ukraine – #Zelensky at presser with #POTUS.https://t.co/Ks06RMGDVu— Ukrinform-EN (@Ukrinform_News) December 13, 2023
 
@IsraeliPM: RT by @mikenov: I greatly appreciate the American support for destroying Hamas and returning our hostages. Following an intensive dialogue…
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@AgenciaAJN: RT by @mikenov: Embajador de #Israel ante la #ONU dio a conocer número telefónico de líder de #Hamás: «¿Cese de fuego? llamen a #Sinwar
Embajador de #Israel ante la #ONU dio a conocer número telefónico de líder de #Hamás: «¿Cese de fuego? llamen a #Sinwar – https://t.co/M8ZJC5ctkX— Agencia AJN (@AgenciaAJN) December 13, 2023
 
@BBCWorld: RT by @mikenov: Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky is in Washington DC to try and save a $61bn (£48.5bn) US aid package Live updates ⬇️
Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky is in Washington DC to try and save a $61bn (£48.5bn) US aid packageLive updates ⬇️— BBC News (World) (@BBCWorld) December 12, 2023
 

@haaretzcom: RT by @mikenov: Even if Israeli generals take responsibility for terrible mistakes that contributed to the October 7 catastrophe, they need…
Even if Israeli generals take responsibility for terrible mistakes that contributed to the October 7 catastrophe, they needn’t take the fall for Netanyahu and the politicians, whose contribution to the disaster is great as well / Amos Harelhttps://t.co/SrHXUFPThn— Haaretz.com (@haaretzcom) December 13, 2023
 
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Senior Hamas Officials in Qatar and Lebanon have reportedly begun to Disappear within the past week …
Tweets from Michael Novakhov – TNT – The News And Times – TheNewsAndTimes.com@mikenov: OSETIA DEL SUR Y ABJASIA, LA AMENAZA RUSA SOBRE EL TERRITORIO GEORGIANOOSETIA DEL SUR Y ABJASIA, LA AMENAZA RUSA SOBRE EL TERRITORIO GEORGIANO – Geopol 21 https://t.co/SGKIedVXNA— Michael Novakhov (@mikenov) December 13, 2023posted 51m ago by @mikenov via (@mikenov)…
 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 
TNT – The News And Times Blog By Michael Novakhov (Mike Nova) – thenewsandtimes.blogspot.com

Senior Hamas Officials in Qatar and Lebanon have reportedly begun to Disappear within the past week …
Tweets from Michael Novakhov – TNT – The News And Times – TheNewsAndTimes.com@mikenov: OSETIA DEL SUR Y ABJASIA, LA AMENAZA RUSA SOBRE EL TERRITORIO GEORGIANOOSETIA DEL SUR Y ABJASIA, LA AMENAZA RUSA SOBRE EL TERRITORIO GEORGIANO – Geopol 21 https://t.co/SGKIedVXNA— Michael Novakhov (@mikenov) December 13, 2023posted 51m ago by @mikenov via (@mikenov)…
 
Zelensky Makes Last-Ditch Plea for U.S. Aid as Russia Claims Advances – The Moscow Times
Michael_Novakhov shared this story . Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky held last-ditch talks in Washington to plead for continued U.S. aid Tuesday, as Russia claimed advances on the battlefront and scornfully dismissed the…
 

Putin’s spy chief tells U.S: Ukraine will become your Vietnam – Selected Articles – The News And Times – 9:49 AM 12/12/2023
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 #NewsAndTimes The News And Times on Twitter – RSS Page The News And Times Information Network – Blogs By Michael Novakhov – thenewsandtimes.blogspot.com
 

Tweets from Michael Novakhov – 7:55 AM 12/11/2023
 Tweets from Michael Novakhov – TNT – The News And Times – TheNewsAndTimes.com@mikenov: https://t.co/noKmmChqYl The News And Times #News #Times #NewsAndTimes #NT #TNT #Israel Israel #World World #USA USA #POTUS POTUS #DOJ DOJ #FBI FBI #CIA CIA #DIA DIA #ODNI ODNI Mossad #Mossad Putin Russia #Putin Russia #Russia #GRU GRU #Ukraine New Abwehr #NewAbwehr…
 

Iran accuses jailed Swedish EU diplomat of conspiring with Israel – Selected Articles – The News And Times – 6:30 AM 12/11/2023
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Why is Israel’s Netanyahu still groveling to Putin and Russia? | Opinion – Haaretz
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Selected Articles – The News And Times – Audio Posts: Telephone conversation with Prime Minister of Israel Benjamin Netanyahu … National Security in Context: Where Have All the Strategic Thinkers Gone?
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Zelensky facing headwinds with wavering U.S. support and internal criticism – The Washington Post https://t.co/yK45bXlmvA— Michael Novakhov (@mikenov) December 9, 2023 Ukraine’s Zelensky appears increasingly embattled as U.S. backing wavers By Isabelle Khurshudyan, Siobhán O’Grady and David L. SternDecember 9, 2023 at 8:34 a.m. ESTUkrainian President…
 

4:24 AM 12/9/2023 – The News And Times Review
4:24 AM 12/9/2023The News And Times ReviewAll The News That’s Fit To WebRecent Posts – The News And Times BlogThe Road to October 7: Hamas’ Long Game, Clarified – Combating Terrorism Center at West Point … National Security in Context: Where Have All the Strategic Thinkers Gone? – 4:18 AM 12/9/2023 – 12/9/2023@KarinaKarapety8: RT by @mikenov: #Erdogan…
 

The Road to October 7: Hamas’ Long Game, Clarified – Combating Terrorism Center at West Point … National Security in Context: Where Have All the Strategic Thinkers Gone? – 4:18 AM 12/9/2023
The artificial intelligence (AI) story shows no signs of slowing. Instead, AI – which could be worth $1.8 trillion by 2030, according to Statista – is already changing just about everything. In fact, it’s already changing drug discovery, education, finances, and cyber threats. All of which is beneficial for companies, such as VERSES AI Inc. (NEO: VERS)…
 

@KarinaKarapety8: RT by @mikenov: #Erdogan on #France’s supply of military equipment to #Armenia: “What France is doing is just a provocation.” – 4:06 AM 12/9/2023
 Tweets – The News And Times Review – TheNewsAndTimes.Blogspot.com@KarinaKarapety8: RT by @mikenov: #Erdogan on #France’s supply of military equipment to #Armenia: “What France is doing is just a provocation.” At the…#Erdogan on #France’s supply of military equipment to #Armenia: “What France is doing is just a provocation.”At the same time, #Turkey…
 

The offices of Nikol #Pashinyan and Ilham #Aliyev released a surprise announcement regarding the exchange of prisoners – 3:58 AM 12/9/2023
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Iran president says Palestine, swift end to Israel’s Gaza war top of agenda of Russia visit
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Tweets – The News And Times Review: The majority of Americans distrust the #FBI due to the agency’s “appearance of partiality and bias” … @mikenov: Миронов, “первый социалист России”, тебя невозможно читать и видеть: боль и жалость. Путинский прихлебник … @mikenov: THE VOICE OF REASON: – Iran urges Egypt to unconditionally open Rafah crossing … Iranian security forces raped and sexually assaulted male and female protesters as young as 12 … @mikenov: This is your wishful thinking. These relations are not “normalized”, and will not be normalized until Azerbaijan is a normal and free European country, and it is very far from it. Pervasive and institutionalized hypocrisy and corruption, narrow minded nationalism, totalitarian … After Victory In Nagorno-Karabakh, Azerbaijani Government Takes Aim At Journalists — And The U.S. … Миронов, “первый социалист России”, тебя невозможно читать и видеть: боль и жалость. Путинский прихлебник.
Search inside imageСергей Миронов призвал «решить мирным путем» ситуацию с ПригожинымVisit Tweets – The News And Times Review – TheNewsAndTimes.Blogspot.com@mikenov: Миронов, “первый социалист России”, тебя невозможно читать и видеть: боль и жалость. Путинский прихлебник. https://t.co/cOstKoxdIi https://t.co/MocD3clIODМиронов, “первый социалист России”,…
 

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Rampant Sexual Misconduct At FBI
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The congressional free-for-all over 702 is well underway – WP And Other Selected Stories – 12:53 PM 12/6/2023
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JUST IN: US brings first-ever war crimes charges against four Russians – Tweets – The News And Times Review – 12:21 PM 12/6/2023
Four Russians become first charged under US war crimes actposted at 16:32:24 UTC via thehill.comSkip to contentThe U.S. is bringing its first-ever charges of war crimes against four Russian military personnel for atrocities committed against an American citizen in Ukraine during Russia’s full-scale invasion of the country. Attorney General Merrick Garland…
 
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Sam Altman says AI could derail 2024 election

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Published: 13:28 GMT, 13 December 2023 | Updated: 14:07 GMT, 13 December 2023

Artificial intelligence guru Sam Altman has warned the technology could be used to sway American voters in the 2024 election.

One particular concern of OpenAI co-founder Altman – spectacularly fired then reinstated as the company’s CEO last month – is that the technology could be used to scan voters’ social media posts.

He says people could then be targeted with personalized, AI-generated disinformation including highly emotive messages imploring them to vote for a certain candidate.  

The tycoon, whose firm is behind ChatGPT, believes AI ‘will be the most powerful technology humanity has yet invented’.

But, he told the audience at Time magazine’s gala in New York City, it will create potent tools for those looking to sway an election, enabling techniques far more sophisticated than those currently available.

Sam Altman, 38, on Tuesday appeared on stage at Time magazine’s annual gala, where he was named CEO of the year

Altman and Sam Jacobs, editor in chief of Time magazine, are seen at the Plaza Hotel in New York City on Tuesday night

Altman, speaking after being named Time’s CEO of the year, warned that troll farms in foreign countries are ‘trying to interfere without elections’.  

‘They make one great meme, and that spreads out and all of us see the same thing on Facebook or Twitter. That will continue to happen and get better.

‘But the thing I am more concerned about: What if an AI reads everything you have ever written online – every tweet, every article, every everything? And right at the exact moment sends you one message, customized just for you, that really changes how you think about the world.

‘That’s a new kind of interference that just wasn’t possible before AI.’

The St Louis-born tech entrepreneur, in a discussion with Time’s editor in chief Sam Jacobs, insisted he was optimistic about AI’s potential, presenting a generally sunny picture of medical advances and increased access to learning.

‘I think we will see education changed deeply and improved forever,’ he said. ‘I think the kids in kindergarten today, by the time they reach 12th grade will be smarter and better prepared than the best kids of today.’

Altman is seen with Jacobs, who interviewed him during Tuesday’s event

He said the experience of his firing and rehiring had been ‘painful and exhausting’ and he had not yet had time to process what had happened – but that he was ‘happy to be back at work.’

‘I think everybody involved in this, as we get closer and closer to super intelligence, everyone involved got more and more stressed as the stakes get higher,’ he said, trying to explain the dramatic events.

‘And I think that all exploded.’

Altman said the team at OpenAI were working ‘to build tools that are helpful to people’ – and that they realized they had huge responsibility.

Critics fear a nightmare Terminator II: Judgement Day-type scenario where sentient machines decide to exterminate their creators and take over the world, turning it into an apocalyptic hellscape.  

‘If we can create abundant intelligence for the world, and abundant energy, then our ability to have amazing ideas for our children to teach themselves, for healthcare, for people to be more productive, to uplift the economy, for people to help themselves – then if we put those things into action with energy they are two massive, massive things,’ he said.

‘Now they come with downsides. And so it’s on us to figure out how to make this safe, and put it responsibly in the hands of people.

‘But I think we see a path now where the world gets much more abundant and much better every year, and people have the ability to do way, way more than we can possibly imagine today.’

Altman said he understood there were many skeptics, and many people fearful about the vast power of AI.

They include Elon Musk – who co-founded OpenAI with Altman, before leaving the company in 2018, and becoming one of its most strident critics. Musk has argued that AI is becoming too powerful, without sufficient guardrails.

Altman said on Tuesday that he was ‘very grateful Elon exists in the world,’ adding: ‘I think he’s done some amazing things.’

He also praised Musk’s work on electric vehicles and space exploration, and said his criticism about Microsoft controlling OpenAI – Microsoft has invested $13 billion in the company – was unfair and inaccurate.

Altman is pictured with his fiance, Australian software engineer Oliver Mulherin

The San Francisco-based CEO said he still believed he and his team were developing something beneficial for humanity.

‘I think in 2023 we started to see it; 2024 we’ll see way more; and by the time the end of the decade rolls around I think we’ll be in a way better place,’ he said.

‘It sounds silly and sci-fi optimism. But if you think about how different the world will be. Today they have ChatGPT – it’s not very good.

‘Next they have the world’s best chief of staff. And after that, every person has a company of 20-50 experts that work super well together, and after that, 10,000 experts in every field.

‘If someone wants to focus on curing disease they can do that, or create art – they can do that.’

Addressing his dramatic November 17 firing before being rehired at OpenAI on November 21, Altman said that it should be viewed in the context of ‘a crazy whole year’ – noting that ChatGPT was only released a year ago, and the company’s profile and reach exploded.

And he said he believed, in the long run, the firing-rehiring drama would be beneficial for the company.

‘It’s been extremely painful for me personally but I actually think it’s been great for OpenAI,’ he said.

‘We’ve never been more unified. We have never been more determined and focused.

‘And we always said this moment would come when we were building AGI. We didn’t think it would come so soon.

‘But we are stronger for going through it.

‘I wouldn’t wish it on an enemy, but it did have a positive effect on the company.’

He said he was extremely proud of how his staff reacted, and carried on working despite the turmoil.

But, he admitted, it had been intense and draining.

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@MailOnline: RT by @mikenov: Sam Altman warns AI could threaten the 2024 ELECTION with sophisticated troll farms – as he reveals his dramatic firing fro…

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@mikenov: Senior Hamas Officials in Qatar and Lebanon have reportedly begun to Disappear within the past week … https://t.co/pOshVBuTRJ https://t.co/RjTrTfe0zY

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Senior Hamas Officials in Qatar and Lebanon have reportedly begun to Disappear within the past week …

Tweets from Michael Novakhov – TNT – The News And Times – TheNewsAndTimes.com

@mikenov: OSETIA DEL SUR Y ABJASIA, LA AMENAZA RUSA SOBRE EL TERRITORIO GEORGIANO
OSETIA DEL SUR Y ABJASIA, LA AMENAZA RUSA SOBRE EL TERRITORIO GEORGIANO – Geopol 21 https://t.co/SGKIedVXNA— Michael Novakhov (@mikenov) December 13, 2023
 

@Geopol21: RT by @mikenov: 🪖Dos estados no reconocidos internacionalmente y ocupados por tropas rusas. 🇷🇺🇬🇪Así son Abjasia y Osetia del Sur, regiones s…
🪖Dos estados no reconocidos internacionalmente y ocupados por tropas rusas.🇷🇺🇬🇪Así son Abjasia y Osetia del Sur, regiones separatistas en Georgia y apoyadas por Moscú. ✍️Lo analizamos en este primer artículo de @GeoStratega #Geopolers #SouthCaucasushttps://t.co/hUdZzuxIxe— GEOPOL 21 (@Geopol21) December 12, 2023
 

@dw_russian: RT by @mikenov: Зеленский – о ночном российском ракетном обстреле Киева https://t.co/QUFSbmAki1
Зеленский – о ночном российском ракетном обстреле Киева pic.twitter.com/QUFSbmAki1— DW на русском (@dw_russian) December 13, 2023
 
@mikenov: hamas leaders left qatar
hamas leaders left qatar – GS https://t.co/hf9Wyt0aMA— Michael Novakhov (@mikenov) December 13, 2023
 
@mikenov: One of Israel’s priorities is to normalize the relations with Iran, rather than to bomb it into the oblivion. The current oppressive Iranian regime is one of the Stalinist KGB piglets, conceived in the shadows of WW2. It needs both a scalpel and the transplantation of the Western…
One of Israel’s priorities is to normalize the relations with Iran, rather than to bomb it into the oblivion. The current oppressive Iranian regime is one of the Stalinist KGB piglets, conceived in the shadows of WW2. It needs both a scalpel and the transplantation of the Western…— Michael Novakhov (@mikenov) December 13, 2023
 

@Jerusalem_Post: RT by @mikenov: #Israel’s UN Ambassador @giladerdan1 held up a sign depicting Yahya Sinwar’s office phone number and asked UNGA members…
#Israel’s UN Ambassador @giladerdan1 held up a sign depicting Yahya Sinwar’s office phone number and asked UNGA members to call Sinwar if they truly care for a #ceasefire.https://t.co/01BAD1hEQh— The Jerusalem Post (@Jerusalem_Post) December 13, 2023
 

@sentdefender: RT by @mikenov: Senior Hamas Officials in Qatar and Lebanon have reportedly begun to Disappear within the past week, with Qatari Sources…
Senior Hamas Officials in Qatar and Lebanon have reportedly begun to Disappear within the past week, with Qatari Sources claiming that they have left for “Unknown Destinations” and that since that they have been Unreachable by Cell Phone; Saleh al-Arouri, a Senior Leader of Hamas… pic.twitter.com/2rqfsXaJ8g— OSINTdefender (@sentdefender) December 12,…
 
@mikenov: hamas leaders left qatar
hamas leaders left qatar – Google Search https://t.co/hf9Wyt0aMA— Michael Novakhov (@mikenov) December 13, 2023
 

@TimesofIsrael: RT by @mikenov: Hamas used toxic substance to kill Nahal Oz troops on Oct. 7, IDF probe said to show https://t.co/wSq1XLwVM8 . Click to…
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Selected Articles – The News And Times

FirstFT: Biden offers harshest criticism yet of Netanyahu government
Stay informed with free updatesSimply sign up to the Global Economy myFT Digest — delivered directly to your inbox.This article is an on-site version of our FirstFT newsletter. Sign up to our Asia, Europe/Africa or Americas edition to get it sent straight to your inbox every weekday morningGood morning. Joe Biden said Benjamin Netanyahu must change…
 

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@MoscowTimes: The Wall Street Journal, citing the declassified U.S. intelligence assessment, said the conflict in Ukraine “has sharply set back 15 years of Russian effort to modernize its ground force.” https://t.co/ZFCZ8o3o6Z
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Special counsel Jack Smith may use Trump’s cellphone records during trial  CBS NewsThe post Special counsel Jack Smith may use Trump’s cellphone records during trial – CBS News first appeared on The News And Times Review.
 

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@mikenov: OSETIA DEL SUR Y ABJASIA, LA AMENAZA RUSA SOBRE EL TERRITORIO GEORGIANO

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OSETIA DEL SUR Y ABJASIA, LA AMENAZA RUSA SOBRE EL TERRITORIO GEORGIANO

En el cuadro geopolítico global, hay regiones que, aunque geográficamente pequeñas, tienen una notable influencia en las relaciones internacionales. Osetia del Sur y Abjasia, dos entidades territoriales separatistas situadas en la región del Cáucaso en Georgia, son un vivo ejemplo de este fenómeno. Ambas regiones han estado en el centro de conflictos intensificados caracterizados por tensiones étnicas, desafíos territoriales y disputas geopolíticas.

CÁUCASO SUR, UNA REGIÓN HISTÓRICAMENTE CONVULSA

Si vamos a un mapa del mundo, vemos una región bastante turbulenta, situada en el Cáucaso, allí vemos que hay dos territorios, Osetia del Sur y Abjasia. Partiendo desde el inicio de estos problemas en ambos territorios, nos encontramos con la URSS. No es algo sorprendente. La historia de las tensiones entre estas dos regiones se remonta a la Edad Media, cuando ambos territorios formaban parte del reino georgiano.

En el siglo XIX, Osetia del Sur y Abjasia se convirtieron en territorios autónomos dentro de Georgia Imperial. La identidad étnica y cultural de estas regiones también se fue configurando de manera independiente por lo que hubo una creciente tensión étnica y política que hizo que se creara un conflicto abierto en 1918, cuando ambas regiones se declararon independientes. Georgia, por su parte, rechazó esta declaración y, en 1921, las fuerzas georgianas lanzaron una última campaña militar para someter al pueblo de Osetia del Sur y Abjasia.

Mapa de la guerra de Georgia en 2008 cuando tropas rusas entraron en territorio de Georgia en Abjazia y Osetia.

A principios del siglo XX, la región estaba inmersa en el contexto geopolítico del Imperio Ruso. Ambas regiones, tanto Osetia del Sur como Abjasia, eran parte de la periferia sur del imperio y compartían fronteras con el Imperio Otomano al sur y el Imperio Persa al sureste. En 1920, tras la Revolución Rusa y la creación de manera formal de la URSS, la región del Cáucaso fue escenario de cambios significativos, sobre todo en la zona sur. Un año más tarde, la RepúblicaDemocrática de Georgia fue ocupada por el Ejercito Rojo, y se estableció la Republica Socialista Soviética de Georgia. Esto solo buscaba consolidar el control centralizado y homogeneizar las identidades dentro de la URSS.

En 1930, Josef Stalin, nacido en Georgia, comenzó a desempeñar un papel crucial en la reconfiguración de las fronteras internas de la Unión Soviética. Se crearon repúblicas autónomas, como las de Osetia del Sur y Abjasia, que, bajo un marco soviético buscaba conciliar la diversidad étnica que existía en ambas regiones y ofrecerles un mínimo nivel de autogobierno, a pesar de que estaban subordinadas a Moscú.

Con la desintegración de la URSS llegaron los problemas

Tras la desintegración de la URSS en 1991, tanto Osetia del Sur como Abjasia se encontraron en una de las situaciones mas complejas de su corta vida. Las tensiones que habían estado latentes durante el periodo soviético se intensificaron, y ambos territorios declararon su independencia de Georgia. Este proceso llevó a grandes conflictos armados y a la creación de partidos políticos que abogaban por el separatismo de estas regiones.

En el caso de Abjasia, el conflicto más intenso tuvo lugar de 1992 a 1993, las fuerzas de abjasia, con el apoyo de voluntarios y tropas rusas, se enfrentaron a las fuerzas georgianas. El resultado del conflicto fue la independencia defacto de Abjasia en 1993, aunque, para la desgracia de todos los habitantes de la zona que apoyaban esto, la comunidad internacional, en su mayoría, no reconocieron su independencia. A pesar de ello, Rusia mantuvo su presencia militar en la región y, posteriormente, les otorgó la ciudadanía rusa a muchos abjasios.

Abjasia celebra el 30.º aniversario de su independencia de Georgia. Fuente: Agencia EFE

En el otro caso, el de Osetia del Sur, el conflicto armado más significativo fue en los mismos años que, tras una breve tregua, los enfrentamientos se reavivaron en 2008. El conflicto entre Georgia y Rusia, conocido como la Guerra Ruso-Georgiana, tuvo un grandísimo impacto en Osetia del Sur, recordemos que esta región esta altamente vinculada con Rusia. Después de estos enfrentamientos, Rusia reconoció también la independencia de Osetia del Sur, lo que genero aún mas rencillas entre Rusia y sus vecinos. En la actualidad, los países que reconocen a estas dos regiones son, Nicaragua, Venezuela, Nauru y Siria, aparte de Rusia.

Desde el momento del “fin” de la guerra entre Rusia y Georgia, el país liderado por Putin ha reafirmado su posición. Las relaciones comerciales que mantienen los ahora Estados de facto con Rusia son prácticamente exclusivas. Según un informe de Routledge, llamado “East European Politics” la economía de Osetia del Sur está basada en las importaciones e inversiones rusas, pero, por otro lado, sus importaciones no van más allá de productos agrícolas de una calidad muy inferior a la que el país ruso puede acceder. Abjasia, por su parte, sí se beneficia de una mayor inversión en infraestructura de varios países extranjeros entre los que se incluyen, por ejemplo, a Turquía.

Regiones separatistas ocupadas por Rusia en Georgia. (Instituto de Relaciones Internacionales)

Algo muy característico es que en ambas regiones se usa el rublo ruso, la cooperación también se extiende al plano militar, que es el que más le interesa a Rusia, se firmaron acuerdos militares con ambas regiones en 2014 y 2015generando un gran descontento en los países occidentales viendo el poder que tenía en la zona. Estos acuerdos vienen precedidos de la anexión rusa de Crimea en marzo de 2014.

¿Qué está pasando en la actualidad en la zona?

En la actualidad y con las recientes contiendas abiertas por parte de Rusia, varios medios se han hecho eco de los planes que pudieran tener en estas dos regiones. “La idea de unirse a Rusia sigue siendo popular en Abjasia y Osetia del Sur […] Es muy posible que se lleve a cabo si hay buenas razones para ello”, estas fueron las palabras que recogía el periódico ruso, Argumenty i Fakti, de un discurso que ofreció el actual vicepresidente del Consejo de Seguridad ruso,Dmitri Medvédv. Este plan podría ser altamente beneficioso para Rusia y a su vez letal. Georgia ha mejorado exponencialmente su relación con la Unión Europea. En el año 2014, se firmaron los Acuerdos de Asociación, que incluían un Acuerdo de Libre Comercio Integral y Reforzado. También la Unión Europea ha proporcionado asistencia financiera a Georgia para poder respaldar su desarrollo económico e implementar reformas, han creado un plan de facilidad de movilidad para las personas de diferentes lugares hasta Georgia y, la parte más importante, la Unión Europea también se ha reafirmado con su compromiso con la integridad territorial de Georgia y ha expresado su apoyo a una solución pacifica y negociada para los conflictos en las regiones de Osetia del Sur y Abjasia.

Influencia económica rusa en los países del Cáucaso Sur. (Geopolitical Futures)

Esto podría hacer que si, en un futuro, tal y como afirma Medvédv, Rusia se pone en marcha para conseguir anexionar los dos territorios, a pesar de su sentimiento ruso, la UE saldría en defensa del pueblo georgiano por lo que se abriría una contienda que, por rivales, Rusia no estaría dispuesta a jugar.

NOTA: Los planteamientos e ideas contenidas en los artículos de análisis y opinión son responsabilidad exclusiva, en cada caso, del analista, sin que necesariamente representen las ideas de GEOPOL 21.

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@Geopol21: RT by @mikenov: 🪖Dos estados no reconocidos internacionalmente y ocupados por tropas rusas. 🇷🇺🇬🇪Así son Abjasia y Osetia del Sur, regiones s…